Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1.934226 2.213861 2.521420 2.885067 3.303672 3.770896 4.332581
2025-06-29 1.474369 1.842174 2.284798 2.857948 3.582417 4.470264 5.644886
2025-07-06 1.209024 1.602759 2.106352 2.800147 3.735212 4.957482 6.685829
2025-07-13 1.104082 1.537057 2.119509 2.964458 4.166018 5.824084 8.304287
2025-07-20 0.976361 1.416951 2.035664 2.973703 4.370490 6.390021 9.561539
2025-07-27 0.898916 1.354251 2.018892 3.067579 4.695712 7.151845 11.184408
2025-08-03 0.811478 1.264162 1.948276 3.067162 4.871039 7.698992 12.533599
2025-08-10 0.733468 1.178250 1.872183 3.045283 5.003555 8.184814 13.831564
2025-08-17 0.660778 1.091972 1.784802 2.992477 5.074711 8.571371 14.999607
2025-08-24 0.618072 1.049584 1.762841 3.043430 5.321514 9.272020 16.786732
2025-08-31 0.580027 1.010635 1.741730 3.091669 5.565577 9.989081 18.682475
2025-09-07 0.536721 0.957906 1.691136 3.081059 5.700336 10.520708 20.290158
2025-09-14 0.483514 0.886334 1.607450 3.015152 5.752193 10.954955 21.871279
2025-09-21 0.440171 0.828980 1.544957 2.984889 5.875033 11.553028 23.896213
2025-09-28 0.398604 0.769950 1.472143 2.924496 5.928291 12.016447 25.703539
2025-10-05 0.388979 0.771280 1.514295 3.096419 6.472217 13.540311 29.998521
2025-10-12 0.362310 0.735656 1.479568 3.106094 6.676750 14.378290 32.898687
2025-10-19 0.347200 0.721779 1.486852 3.204330 7.083197 15.701879 37.108553
2025-10-26 0.324151 0.688754 1.450771 3.203894 7.269508 16.557646 40.336772
2025-11-02 0.301392 0.653910 1.407050 3.180998 7.400869 17.302656 43.404871
2025-11-09 0.278206 0.615713 1.352036 3.125740 7.448829 17.855880 46.070891
2025-11-16 0.265431 0.599467 1.343971 3.179059 7.764640 19.097839 50.725012
2025-11-23 0.253404 0.583668 1.335213 3.229540 8.079584 20.378404 55.685883